Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.6757.5%
X3.9524.3%
25.2718.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLWWLDWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Newcastle
LWLWLLDDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Against
6.90
11.30
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.80
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.90
11.30
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
22.00
Match total
21.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
4.30
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.5%60.4%+2.9 pp
Draw24.3%16.7%-7.6 pp
Away18.2%22.9%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.880.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
2-010.4%
1-010.4%
1-110.4%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.293.85
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away42.9%