Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
12.5737.4%
X3.1930.1%
22.9532.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
LLLWDWDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Watford
DWLLLDWLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.40
20%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.60
Against
6.60
11.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
1.90
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.70goals per match
Watford conceded1.40
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.60
Corners against
6.60
11.40
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.80
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.00
Match total
19.90

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%32.1%-5.3 pp
Draw30.1%42.3%+12.2 pp
Away32.5%25.6%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.271.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-121.8%
1-012.8%
2-210.3%
0-19.0%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.90
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.4%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Draw FT48.1%30.7%–66.0% CI
Away FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals7.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away44.4%