Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 15:00
11.5661.5%
X4.3721.9%
25.7816.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DDDLLLWDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
West Ham
LLWLWLLLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.50
Against
8.40
11.10
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.70goals per match
West Ham conceded1.90
Matchup

West Ham attack

0.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.50
Corners against
8.40
11.10
Match total
13.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
2.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
26.20
Match total
20.00

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%66.7%+5.2 pp
Draw21.9%17.9%-4.0 pp
Away16.6%15.4%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.541.0%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

2.310.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-115.4%
2-115.4%
4-010.3%
1-110.3%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.923.74
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away50.0%