Premier League · 2019/20
2020-03-01 · 14:00
12.5437.7%
X3.3328.7%
22.8533.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LWDLWDWWDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Man United
LWLDWLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
5.80N=10
3.70
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded1.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.20goals per match
Everton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
11.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
4.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.50
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
6.20
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%39.8%+2.1 pp
Draw28.7%26.5%-2.2 pp
Away33.6%33.7%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.291.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.0%
1-112.0%
1-29.6%
2-08.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.694.47
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.9%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Draw FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.8%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals27.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.5%
Away48.3%