Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 17:30
17.5212.7%
X4.8419.8%
21.4267.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
DDLLDWWWDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Liverpool
WDWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
0.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.20
Against
3.40
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
0.40
1.90
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.40
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.90goals per match
Watford conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.40
9.80
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.60
Match total
1.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
23.30
Match total
14.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
15.50N=10
3.10
On target
5.70
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.7%19.0%+6.3 pp
Draw19.8%19.0%-0.7 pp
Away67.5%61.9%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.051.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.0%
0-119.0%
2-19.5%
2-29.5%
1-49.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.906.90
Average total10.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.547.6%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away80.0%