Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.7135.4%
X3.5427.1%
22.5537.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
LDLLLLWDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Southampton
LDLDLWWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.50
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.60goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.50Matchup
Southampton attack
1.50goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
18.40
Match total
25.40
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.90
On target
5.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%41.1%+5.7 pp
Draw27.1%23.3%-3.8 pp
Away37.6%35.6%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.42–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.0%
2-19.6%
1-28.2%
1-08.2%
0-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.97
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals26.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away50.0%