Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.7135.4%
X3.5427.1%
22.5537.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LDLLLLWDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Southampton
LDLDLWWWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
2.00
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.50
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
2.00
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.60goals per match
Southampton conceded1.50
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.50goals per match
West Ham conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
18.40
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
4.90
On target
5.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%41.1%+5.7 pp
Draw27.1%23.3%-3.8 pp
Away37.6%35.6%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.421.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.0%
2-19.6%
1-28.2%
1-08.2%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.274.97
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI
Away FT30.8%16.5%–50.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away50.0%