Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
12.6436.2%
X3.1130.8%
22.9033.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WDWDWWLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Burnley
DLLWLWLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
7.80
Against
6.40
11.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
Burnley conceded1.70
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
7.80
Corners against
6.40
11.60
Match total
9.80
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
21.50
Match total
21.80

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.90
On target
2.40
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches93
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%35.5%-0.8 pp
Draw30.8%38.7%+7.9 pp
Away33.0%25.8%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.201.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.3%
1-015.1%
0-09.7%
0-18.6%
2-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.39
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=93.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Away FT11.8%4.7%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.8%
Away41.2%