Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 15:00
14.6820.5%
X3.8425.0%
21.7654.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DDWLLLDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Chelsea
WWWLLWWDLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.40
Against
3.30
10.90
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.40
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.90goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.40
Corners against
3.30
10.90
Match total
8.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
20.70
Match total
21.60

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
2.90
On target
4.90
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%25.0%+4.5 pp
Draw25.0%20.8%-4.2 pp
Away54.5%54.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.211.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
2-312.5%
0-112.5%
0-08.3%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.635.04
Average total9.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away30.0%