Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 12:30
12.0846.1%
X3.2429.6%
23.9324.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
WWWLDLWDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Crystal Palace
WDLWDLDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.70
Against
6.80
8.20
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
1.50goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.10goals per matchBrighton conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.80
8.20
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
19.20
Match total
22.80
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.60
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%50.7%+4.7 pp
Draw29.6%27.5%-2.0 pp
Away24.4%21.7%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
1.36–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.3%
0-013.0%
2-011.6%
1-110.1%
1-35.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.55–4.04
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.523.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
0.91
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal59.1%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals9.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away13.6%