Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-29 · 12:30
12.0846.1%
X3.2429.6%
23.9324.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WWWLDLWDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Crystal Palace
WDLWDLDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.70
Against
6.80
8.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.50goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.80
8.20
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
19.20
Match total
22.80

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.60
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%50.7%+4.7 pp
Draw29.6%27.5%-2.0 pp
Away24.4%21.7%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

1.360.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.3%
0-013.0%
2-011.6%
1-110.1%
1-35.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.04
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.523.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Draw FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Away FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

0.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal59.1%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away13.6%