Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-28 · 20:00
14.6620.7%
X4.0224.0%
21.7455.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
LLLDLLDDWL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Leicester
LWWWWLWWLD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
2.50
2.00
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.70
Against
5.10
11.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
2.50
2.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.00goals per match
Leicester conceded0.90
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.50goals per match
Norwich conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.30
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.70
Corners against
5.10
11.90
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.00
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
4.40
On target
6.90
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%22.2%+1.5 pp
Draw24.0%22.2%-1.7 pp
Away55.4%55.6%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.071.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.8%
1-114.8%
2-311.1%
0-411.1%
2-47.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.414.89
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.518.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away60.0%