Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 16:30
12.0447.0%
X3.6026.6%
23.6326.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WDDDLLLWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Everton
LLWLLDWLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.70
Against
4.60
12.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.90
Matchup

Everton attack

1.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.60
12.10
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.00
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
25.60
Match total
23.60

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.00
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%35.8%-11.1 pp
Draw26.6%34.0%+7.3 pp
Away26.4%30.2%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.421.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.8%
1-011.3%
0-111.3%
1-29.4%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.814.47
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.2%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away60.0%