Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 14:00
11.5263.0%
X4.2722.4%
26.5514.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
WDWDWLWDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Norwich
LDLWLDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.70
Against
6.80
7.50
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.40
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.40goals per match
Norwich conceded1.40
Matchup

Norwich attack

0.50goals per match
Wolves conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.80
7.50
Match total
12.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.90
Match total
22.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.10
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches29
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.0%62.1%-0.9 pp
Draw22.4%20.7%-1.7 pp
Away14.6%17.2%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.830.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.7%
2-110.3%
0-010.3%
1-110.3%
3-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.763.55
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.551.7%
Over 11.541.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away33.3%