Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 14:00
11.6059.9%
X3.9724.1%
25.9816.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DDWDWDWWLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Watford
LDWLLLDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.70
Against
6.40
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.80goals per match
Watford conceded1.30
Matchup

Watford attack

1.00goals per match
Man United conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.40
9.00
Match total
9.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.80
Match total
18.90

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
6.60
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%48.7%-11.1 pp
Draw24.1%28.2%+4.1 pp
Away16.0%23.1%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.543.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.821.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.4%
3-110.3%
2-210.3%
1-110.3%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.313.67
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.535.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away54.5%