Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-23 · 14:00
11.6059.9%
X3.9724.1%
25.9816.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man United
DDWDWDWWLD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Watford
LDWLLLDWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.70
Against
6.40
9.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man United attack
1.80goals per matchWatford conceded1.30Matchup
Watford attack
1.00goals per matchMan United conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.40
9.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.80
Match total
18.90
Shots
17.00N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
6.60
On target
2.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%48.7%-11.1 pp
Draw24.1%28.2%+4.1 pp
Away16.0%23.1%+7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.543.6%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
1.82–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.4%
3-110.3%
2-210.3%
1-110.3%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.31–3.67
Average total9.97
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.535.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.3%
Away54.5%