Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 17:30
14.4921.4%
X4.1523.1%
21.7355.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WWWWWDLLWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Man City
WWLDWWLWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.40
1.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
2.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
6.60N=10
4.40
Against
2.90
10.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.10goals per match
Man City conceded1.30
Matchup

Man City attack

2.40goals per match
Leicester conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
6.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
2.90
10.50
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.80
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.30
Match total
18.80

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
17.90N=10
4.90
On target
7.10
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.4%6.7%-14.7 pp
Draw23.1%20.0%-3.1 pp
Away55.5%73.3%+17.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS80.0%

Historical average

1.402.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-226.7%
2-313.3%
3-46.7%
0-36.7%
2-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.276.20
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.566.7%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.4%
Away58.8%