Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
11.6458.5%
X4.2322.7%
25.1018.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLWWLDWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Aston Villa
WLLDLLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
2.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.50
Against
6.80
10.50
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
2.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.90
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.80
10.50
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.30
Match total
23.80

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.70
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.5%30.0%-28.5 pp
Draw22.7%30.0%+7.3 pp
Away18.8%40.0%+21.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS65.0%

Historical average

1.701.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-220.0%
0-015.0%
1-115.0%
0-310.0%
3-05.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.153.90
Average total11.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.535.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals35.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away41.2%