Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
11.9648.9%
X3.3029.1%
24.3522.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WLLLWDWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Newcastle
LLWLWLLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.20
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.60
Against
7.10
11.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.00
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.20
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
7.10
11.20
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.40
Match total
2.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
22.80
Match total
21.00

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.00
On target
2.50
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.9%51.9%+3.0 pp
Draw29.1%26.9%-2.1 pp
Away22.0%21.2%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.561.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.5%
0-09.6%
2-09.6%
1-17.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.353.81
Average total9.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.540.4%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.521.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away45.0%