Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
11.9648.9%
X3.3029.1%
24.3522.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
WLLLWDWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Newcastle
LLWLWLLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.20
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.60
Against
7.10
11.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.80goals per matchNewcastle conceded2.20Matchup
Newcastle attack
0.90goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
6.60
Corners against
7.10
11.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.40
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.80N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
22.80
Match total
21.00
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.00
On target
2.50
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.9%51.9%+3.0 pp
Draw29.1%26.9%-2.1 pp
Away22.0%21.2%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS51.9%
Historical average
1.56–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.5%
0-09.6%
2-09.6%
1-17.7%
0-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–3.81
Average total9.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.540.4%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.521.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away45.0%