Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.1544.6%
X3.2829.2%
23.6526.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
WLWLLWLLWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Bournemouth
LDLLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.40
Against
7.30
11.10
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

0.50goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.30
11.10
Match total
12.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
21.40
Match total
19.30

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%40.9%-3.6 pp
Draw29.2%37.5%+8.3 pp
Away26.2%21.6%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

1.200.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-018.2%
1-115.9%
1-012.5%
2-09.1%
0-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.33
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Draw FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Away FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals26.2%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.2%
Away33.3%