Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 15:00
12.1544.6%
X3.2829.2%
23.6526.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
WLWLLWLLWD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Bournemouth
LDLLLWLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.40
Against
7.30
11.10
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.10goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.60Matchup
Bournemouth attack
0.50goals per matchBurnley conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
7.30
11.10
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.10
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
21.40
Match total
19.30
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%40.9%-3.6 pp
Draw29.2%37.5%+8.3 pp
Away26.2%21.6%-4.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
1.20–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-018.2%
1-115.9%
1-012.5%
2-09.1%
0-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.33
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.7%23.0%–50.8% CI
Draw FT45.2%31.2%–60.1% CI
Away FT19.0%10.0%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.9%
2+ goals26.2%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.2%
Away33.3%