Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-22 · 12:30
11.7355.4%
X3.9424.3%
24.7220.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWWLWLLWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Tottenham
LLDWLWDLDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.10
Against
6.00
12.50
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
2.10
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.60
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.00
12.50
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.10
Match total
22.20

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.30
On target
5.20
6%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%51.9%-3.5 pp
Draw24.3%20.4%-3.9 pp
Away20.3%27.8%+7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.651.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-118.5%
1-011.1%
0-19.3%
1-19.3%
2-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.763.91
Average total10.67

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.559.3%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away50.0%