Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-19 · 19:30
11.1384.6%
X9.3710.2%
218.285.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WLWWWLWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
West Ham
DDLLWLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.60
1.00
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.10
Against
7.00
13.00
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.50goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.60Matchup
West Ham attack
0.60goals per matchMan City conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
7.00
13.00
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
18.10
Match total
21.40
Shots
21.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.40
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home84.6%75.0%-9.6 pp
Draw10.2%8.3%-1.9 pp
Away5.2%16.7%+11.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.591.7%
Over 3.566.7%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
3.50–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.7%
4-016.7%
6-18.3%
5-08.3%
0-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
10.00–2.25
Average total12.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.5100.0%
Over 9.591.7%
Over 10.575.0%
Over 11.566.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away27.3%