Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-17 · 20:00
11.8651.4%
X3.6026.6%
24.3522.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LWWWLWLLWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Man United
LLWLDWLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

9.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
2.70
Against
5.40
11.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.30goals per match
Man United conceded1.50
Matchup

Man United attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.40
11.80
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
6.40
On target
5.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.4%50.0%-1.4 pp
Draw26.6%23.4%-3.1 pp
Away22.0%26.6%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.6%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS42.2%

Historical average

1.411.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.2%
1-110.9%
0-19.4%
2-09.4%
2-19.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.61
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.4%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Away FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away50.0%