Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 16:30
11.4366.8%
X4.6020.8%
27.7212.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWDDDLLLWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Newcastle
LLLWLWLLDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.50
Against
7.60
12.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.40goals per match
Newcastle conceded2.10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
2.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.60
12.30
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.40
Match total
2.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
26.00
Match total
19.50

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.90
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.8%64.0%-2.8 pp
Draw20.8%32.0%+11.2 pp
Away12.4%4.0%-8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.360.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.0%
1-116.0%
2-016.0%
2-216.0%
3-012.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.963.76
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.528.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%