Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 14:00
14.0123.9%
X3.7825.4%
21.8950.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
DDWLWLLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Tottenham
LLLDWLWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.30
Against
5.60
11.00
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.60
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.10goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.60
11.00
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.90
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.70
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.20
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.9%31.6%+7.7 pp
Draw25.4%31.6%+6.2 pp
Away50.7%36.8%-13.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS68.4%

Historical average

1.341.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
1-210.5%
1-47.9%
1-07.9%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.166.71
Average total10.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Away FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away54.5%