Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 17:30
110.029.6%
X6.0016.0%
21.2974.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Norwich
WLLLDLLDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Liverpool
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
2.10
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
7.60
Against
3.80
12.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded
0.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.30goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.50
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.00goals per match
Norwich conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
7.60
Corners against
3.80
12.90
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.30
Match total
2.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
20.90
Match total
15.30

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.60
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.6%20.0%+10.4 pp
Draw16.0%10.0%-6.0 pp
Away74.4%70.0%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

0.802.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-220.0%
0-310.0%
1-110.0%
1-410.0%
0-410.0%

Comparable corner averages

2.905.70
Average total8.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.510.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away75.0%