Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 17:30
110.029.6%
X6.0016.0%
21.2974.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Norwich
WLLLDLLDDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Liverpool
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.00
2.10
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
7.60
Against
3.80
12.90
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
2.10
Goals conceded
0.50
3.40
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Norwich attack
1.30goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.50Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.00goals per matchNorwich conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
7.60
Corners against
3.80
12.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.30
Match total
2.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
20.90
Match total
15.30
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.60
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home9.6%20.0%+10.4 pp
Draw16.0%10.0%-6.0 pp
Away74.4%70.0%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS40.0%
Historical average
0.80–2.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-220.0%
0-310.0%
1-110.0%
1-410.0%
0-410.0%
Comparable corner averages
2.90–5.70
Average total8.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.530.0%
Over 10.520.0%
Over 11.510.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.7%
Away75.0%