Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 12:30
11.7953.6%
X3.6926.0%
24.7020.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLLWWLDWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Burnley
DDLLWLWLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
2.50
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.70
Against
6.30
10.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
2.50
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.10goals per match
Burnley conceded1.70
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded2.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
1.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.30
10.70
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.70
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
21.10
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
4.10
On target
1.90
9%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.6%53.6%-0.0 pp
Draw26.0%30.4%+4.4 pp
Away20.4%16.1%-4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.512.5%
BTTS44.6%

Historical average

1.380.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.9%
1-114.3%
0-012.5%
2-012.5%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.164.46
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.548.2%
Over 11.541.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%21.2%–57.3% CI
Draw FT50.0%31.4%–68.6% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away33.3%