Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 17:30
12.1544.5%
X3.3728.4%
23.5327.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DWWWLDLWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Watford
LLDWLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.10
Against
6.60
8.60
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.50goals per match
Watford conceded2.00
Matchup

Watford attack

0.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.60
8.60
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.10
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.10
Match total
18.20

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.90
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches120
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.5%47.5%+3.0 pp
Draw28.4%23.3%-5.1 pp
Away27.1%29.2%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.518.3%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.371.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
1-015.0%
2-010.0%
2-19.2%
1-29.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.924.36
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=120.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.536.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.2%28.7%–59.1% CI
Draw FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI
Away FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.9%
Away45.9%