Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-08 · 12:30
11.6358.7%
X3.7725.4%
26.0215.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLWDLWDWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWDLWDLDDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
6.80
10.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.10goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.40
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Everton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.80
10.00
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.70
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.7%28.6%-30.1 pp
Draw25.4%38.1%+12.7 pp
Away15.9%33.3%+17.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.331.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-133.3%
0-114.3%
2-19.5%
0-29.5%
1-44.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.86
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.4%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals80.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away90.0%