Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 16:30
15.6417.0%
X4.4521.5%
21.5661.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WWDDWWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Man City
LWWLDWWLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.60
1.00
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
2.00
1.30
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
7.60N=10
3.70
Against
3.00
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
4.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

2.00goals per match
Man City conceded1.40
Matchup

Man City attack

2.60goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
7.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.00
9.00
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
19.20
Match total
18.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
18.60N=10
4.10
On target
7.40
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%7.7%-9.3 pp
Draw21.5%23.1%+1.5 pp
Away61.5%69.2%+7.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

0.852.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-323.1%
0-215.4%
1-215.4%
3-07.7%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.546.54
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away76.9%