Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 14:00
13.7525.5%
X3.5327.1%
22.0247.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
WWLWLLWLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Arsenal
DDLLDWDDDD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.00
Against
6.90
10.90
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.30
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.20goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.90
10.90
Match total
12.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.80
Match total
4.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.60
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.5%18.5%-7.0 pp
Draw27.1%33.3%+6.2 pp
Away47.4%48.1%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.041.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.8%
1-114.8%
1-211.1%
2-17.4%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.855.59
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away72.7%