Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 15:00
12.5637.4%
X3.3728.4%
22.8034.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WLDLLLLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Brighton
DLLLLWDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
9.90
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.70
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.80goals per match
West Ham conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
9.90
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
18.40
Match total
19.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.90
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%40.6%+3.2 pp
Draw28.4%23.2%-5.2 pp
Away34.2%36.2%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.231.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.5%
1-113.0%
2-110.1%
1-28.7%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.55
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.5%25.6%–63.2% CI
Draw FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Away FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.6%
2+ goals52.2%
3+ goals30.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away47.8%