Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 15:00
11.2874.8%
X5.8616.3%
210.738.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Southampton
WLDLDLWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.60
0.70
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.20
11.70
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.40goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.20
11.70
Match total
11.50
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.40
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

7.60N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
16.70
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.80
On target
5.80
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.8%80.0%+5.2 pp
Draw16.3%6.7%-9.7 pp
Away8.9%13.3%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

2.270.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-026.7%
2-120.0%
1-013.3%
1-213.3%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.003.07
Average total11.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.586.7%
Over 9.573.3%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT90.9%62.3%–98.4% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.82

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals63.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away36.4%