Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 15:00
12.1344.9%
X3.5726.8%
23.3928.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WDDWLLLDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Aston Villa
LWLLDLLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.30
Against
7.60
11.40
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.10goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.30
Corners against
7.60
11.40
Match total
12.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.10
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

7.90N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.10
Match total
24.10

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
2.90
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%49.1%+4.1 pp
Draw26.8%30.2%+3.4 pp
Away28.2%20.8%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS54.7%

Historical average

1.751.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.0%
1-115.1%
2-011.3%
2-211.3%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.725.00
Average total10.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.6%
Over 9.562.3%
Over 10.550.9%
Over 11.545.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%35.5%–82.3% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away46.2%