Premier League · 2019/20
2020-02-01 · 12:30
12.5238.0%
X3.5926.7%
22.7235.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WWWWWWDLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Chelsea
WWWWLLWWDL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
2.20
1.10
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.00
Against
3.60
10.50
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
2.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.40
3.20
Total goals
3.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.40
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.20goals per match
Leicester conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.60
10.50
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
4.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
22.20
Match total
20.50

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.20
On target
5.20
15%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%50.0%+12.0 pp
Draw26.7%15.0%-11.7 pp
Away35.2%35.0%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.481.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.5%
2-010.0%
1-310.0%
1-010.0%
3-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.455.20
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.542.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away27.3%