Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-22 · 20:15
11.4168.0%
X4.6520.6%
28.4311.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LWDDWDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Burnley
DDDLLWLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Burnley conceded1.80
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.50
Match total
22.10

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.20
On target
2.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.0%66.7%-1.3 pp
Draw20.6%26.7%+6.0 pp
Away11.4%6.7%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS40.0%

Historical average

1.930.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-026.7%
2-220.0%
5-013.3%
2-113.3%
2-013.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.533.27
Average total10.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.593.3%
Over 9.573.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT92.9%68.5%–98.7% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.9%
Away14.3%