Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 20:15
11.7455.3%
X3.9524.3%
24.7120.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DLWWWLWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Arsenal
LDDLLDWDDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
5.40N=10
2.60
Against
5.80
10.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.40
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
2.60
Corners against
5.80
10.30
Match total
11.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.00
Match total
21.50

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
6.10
On target
3.40
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.3%55.9%+0.6 pp
Draw24.3%20.6%-3.8 pp
Away20.4%23.5%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS61.8%

Historical average

1.741.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.7%
1-114.7%
1-211.8%
2-011.8%
3-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.123.74
Average total10.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.4%
Over 9.564.7%
Over 10.552.9%
Over 11.538.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away53.3%