Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:30
17.4113.0%
X4.8219.9%
21.4367.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sheffield United
LLLWWDLWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man City
WLWWLDWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.80
1.00
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
2.30
1.30
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.30
Against
2.90
11.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
4.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

1.20goals per match
Man City conceded1.50
Matchup

Man City attack

2.80goals per match
Sheffield United conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
2.90
11.50
Match total
9.70
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.00
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
18.20
Match total
17.50

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
18.70N=10
4.10
On target
7.40
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches11
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.0%27.3%+14.3 pp
Draw19.9%36.4%+16.4 pp
Away67.1%36.4%-30.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.536.4%
BTTS72.7%

Historical average

1.271.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-127.3%
1-018.2%
2-29.1%
3-29.1%
1-39.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.096.55
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=11.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.545.5%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away75.0%