Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:30
11.6060.1%
X3.9924.1%
26.0615.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLLWDLWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Newcastle
WLLLWLWLLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Against
7.60
10.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.90
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.90goals per match
Everton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.60
10.40
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.90
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
8.30N=10
21.10
Match total
18.70

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
5.50
On target
2.50
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.1%64.0%+3.9 pp
Draw24.1%12.0%-12.1 pp
Away15.9%24.0%+8.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.544.0%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

2.080.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.0%
3-112.0%
1-112.0%
4-18.0%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.883.72
Average total10.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.568.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.548.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away54.5%