Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:30
12.7335.2%
X3.2629.5%
22.7235.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
WDWLLLWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Southampton
WWLDLDLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.20
Against
7.00
11.80
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.00
11.80
Match total
12.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.70
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%29.3%-5.9 pp
Draw29.5%32.9%+3.5 pp
Away35.3%37.8%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.221.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.9%
1-114.6%
2-29.8%
2-19.8%
1-26.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.60
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals26.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.1%
Away69.6%