Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:30
12.7335.2%
X3.2629.5%
22.7235.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
WDWLLLWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Southampton
WWLDLDLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.20
Against
7.00
11.80
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.00goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.10Matchup
Southampton attack
1.60goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
7.00
11.80
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.70
Match total
24.10
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%29.3%-5.9 pp
Draw29.5%32.9%+3.5 pp
Away35.3%37.8%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
1.22–1.38
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-115.9%
1-114.6%
2-29.8%
2-19.8%
1-26.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.13–4.60
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.531.7%
Over 11.525.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals39.1%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.1%
Away69.6%