Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:30
12.9432.6%
X3.3528.6%
22.4738.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LWDDWLLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Brighton
LDLLLLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.70
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
6.00
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

0.90goals per match
Brighton conceded1.80
Matchup

Brighton attack

0.70goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
9.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.30
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

7.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
20.00
Match total
19.00

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.30
On target
4.40
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.6%30.0%-2.6 pp
Draw28.6%22.5%-6.1 pp
Away38.8%47.5%+8.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.231.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
0-112.5%
1-212.5%
1-012.5%
0-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.405.03
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.552.5%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals18.2%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away54.5%