Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-21 · 19:30
12.8633.6%
X3.4627.8%
22.4938.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WDDWLWLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Watford
DLLDWLLLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.80
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.60
Against
6.60
10.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Watford conceded1.90
Matchup

Watford attack

0.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.60
10.70
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
25.60
Match total
16.90

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.00
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%39.1%+5.5 pp
Draw27.8%23.9%-3.9 pp
Away38.6%37.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.558.7%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

1.461.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-110.9%
1-210.9%
3-18.7%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.305.15
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.554.3%
Over 11.543.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Away FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away64.3%