Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-19 · 16:30
11.3769.8%
X5.1218.7%
28.3111.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Liverpool
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Man United
DLLWLDWLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Liverpool attack
2.50goals per matchMan United conceded1.40Matchup
Man United attack
1.10goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
11.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.20
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
7.70N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
16.30
Match total
23.50
Shots
16.80N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
6.80
On target
5.80
15%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%64.7%-5.1 pp
Draw18.7%29.4%+10.7 pp
Away11.5%5.9%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.552.9%
BTTS47.1%
Historical average
2.88–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
5-023.5%
1-117.6%
2-017.6%
2-211.8%
5-15.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.35–3.53
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.517.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%54.8%–93.0% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.67
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home86.7%
Away20.0%