Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-19 · 14:00
14.1922.9%
X3.7125.8%
21.8751.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
LWWLWLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Leicester
WLLWWWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.60
1.70
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.00
11.00
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.60
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
1.10goals per matchLeicester conceded0.90Matchup
Leicester attack
2.60goals per matchBurnley conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.00
11.00
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.00
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.00
On target
6.30
10%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%8.3%-14.5 pp
Draw25.8%16.7%-9.2 pp
Away51.3%75.0%+23.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
1.04–2.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-216.7%
0-112.5%
0-212.5%
2-312.5%
0-38.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.92–5.25
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.579.2%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away73.3%