Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-19 · 14:00
14.1922.9%
X3.7125.8%
21.8751.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LWWLWLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Leicester
WLLWWWWLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.60
1.70
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.00
11.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.60
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.80
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.10goals per match
Leicester conceded0.90
Matchup

Leicester attack

2.60goals per match
Burnley conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.00
11.00
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.70
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.00
Match total
22.60

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.00
On target
6.30
10%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.9%8.3%-14.5 pp
Draw25.8%16.7%-9.2 pp
Away51.3%75.0%+23.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.042.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.7%
0-112.5%
0-212.5%
2-312.5%
0-38.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.925.25
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.2%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.554.2%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away73.3%