Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 17:30
16.0215.9%
X4.5321.1%
21.5263.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DDWDWDWWLL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Chelsea
WWWWWLLWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.50
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.40
Against
3.60
10.40
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.50
Matchup

Chelsea attack

2.50goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.40
Corners against
3.60
10.40
Match total
8.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.30
Match total
20.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.10
On target
5.60
9%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.9%21.4%+5.5 pp
Draw21.1%21.4%+0.3 pp
Away63.0%57.1%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.711.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-228.6%
1-014.3%
0-414.3%
0-014.3%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.147.29
Average total12.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.6%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.571.4%
Over 11.557.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away70.0%