Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
12.3940.1%
X3.3728.4%
23.0531.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DLLLLWWLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Wolves
LDWDDWDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
2.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.70N=10
5.70
Against
5.30
10.80
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
2.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.00goals per match
Wolves conceded1.30
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.40goals per match
Southampton conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
1.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.30
10.80
Match total
12.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
21.00
Match total
19.80

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%36.9%-3.2 pp
Draw28.4%35.1%+6.7 pp
Away31.4%27.9%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

1.261.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-013.5%
1-013.5%
2-17.2%
0-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.305.13
Average total10.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.538.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI
Draw FT57.5%42.2%–71.5% CI
Away FT22.5%12.3%–37.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals32.5%
3+ goals5.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away45.0%