Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
11.6558.2%
X4.2922.4%
24.9419.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
LDWWWLDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Aston Villa
LLWLLDLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.20
Against
8.60
9.20
Total
13.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.00
2.50
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded2.00
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
8.60
9.20
Match total
13.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.90
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.60
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
4.00
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.2%46.2%-12.0 pp
Draw22.4%7.7%-14.7 pp
Away19.4%46.2%+26.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS69.2%

Historical average

1.541.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-223.1%
2-015.4%
2-115.4%
0-27.7%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.313.46
Average total10.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.6%
Over 9.576.9%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away30.0%