Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 15:00
11.8551.9%
X3.6126.6%
24.4621.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
DWWDDDLLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sheffield United
DWDDDDWWLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.60
Against
7.20
13.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.50goals per match
Sheffield United conceded1.00
Matchup

Sheffield United attack

1.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
7.20
13.10
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.90
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
27.00
Match total
16.90

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%54.8%+2.9 pp
Draw26.6%33.3%+6.7 pp
Away21.5%11.9%-9.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

1.710.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.7%
1-111.9%
1-011.9%
0-011.9%
3-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.765.10
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away30.8%