Premier League · 2019/20
2020-01-18 · 12:30
13.1830.2%
X3.5227.2%
22.2542.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LDDDLLDWWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Tottenham
DLLLDWLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.30
Against
6.40
10.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.10goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.80
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.30goals per match
Watford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.40
10.70
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.50
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.70
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.70
On target
5.00
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches41
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%34.1%+4.0 pp
Draw27.2%29.3%+2.0 pp
Away42.6%36.6%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS58.5%

Historical average

1.271.34

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-014.6%
1-212.2%
2-29.8%
0-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.515.46
Average total10.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=41.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.0%
Over 9.568.3%
Over 10.561.0%
Over 11.541.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home23.1%
Away61.5%