Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 20:30
11.2374.9%
X5.7815.9%
210.079.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sp Lisbon
WWWWWWWLDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Gil Vicente
DDDLWLDLDD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.50
90%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
2.30
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.50
Against
4.80
10.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
3.90
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

3.10goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.50
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

1.00goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.80
10.20
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
25.00
Match total
26.40

Shots

18.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
7.80
On target
3.50
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.9%78.1%+3.2 pp
Draw15.9%13.4%-2.5 pp
Away9.1%8.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.541.3%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

2.520.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-011.4%
2-111.4%
1-19.0%
2-09.0%
4-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

7.372.95
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=200.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.8%45.0%–76.1% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT8.8%3.0%–23.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals61.8%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away35.3%