Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 20:30
11.5957.9%
X3.9323.4%
24.9218.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Famalicao
LWLWWWWWDD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Alverca
LLLLDDDWLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.80
11.00
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.90
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Famalicao attack

2.00goals per match
Alverca conceded1.90
Matchup

Alverca attack

0.80goals per match
Famalicao conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.80
11.00
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
30.00
Match total
24.90

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.00
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches263
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.9%59.3%+1.4 pp
Draw23.4%19.8%-3.6 pp
Away18.7%20.9%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.911.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
2-010.3%
1-110.3%
1-08.7%
3-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.533.97
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=263.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%37.9%–62.1% CI
Draw FT35.5%24.7%–47.9% CI
Away FT14.5%7.8%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.9%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.0%
Away45.2%