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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 18:00

Nacional

vs

Guimaraes

11.9547.2%
X3.4626.6%
23.5026.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nacional
WDWDLLLWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Guimaraes
WDLLLLLDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
6.20
Against
3.50
11.40
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nacional attack

1.50goals per match
Guimaraes conceded2.10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.00goals per match
Nacional conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
6.20
Corners against
3.50
11.40
Match total
8.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.00
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.00
Match total
29.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.2%47.0%-0.2 pp
Draw26.6%26.9%+0.3 pp
Away26.3%26.1%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.67–1.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
2-111.4%
1-28.3%
1-08.0%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.53–4.43
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=613.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches146
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.9%25.8%–40.9% CI
Draw FT43.8%36.0%–51.9% CI
Away FT23.3%17.2%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals47.3%
3+ goals19.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away47.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNacionalForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamGuimaraesForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNacional vs GuimaraesCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.