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Primeira Liga · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 18:00

Arouca

vs

Tondela

13.0030.7%
X3.4626.6%
22.1542.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arouca
LWDLWWLWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Tondela
WLLLDWLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.00
Against
5.50
9.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.30
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arouca attack

1.70goals per match
Tondela conceded1.80
Matchup

Tondela attack

0.90goals per match
Arouca conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.50
9.50
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
6.30
Match total
5.00
100%10/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.50
Match total
27.10

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.60
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches569
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.7%28.6%-2.0 pp
Draw26.6%27.2%+0.7 pp
Away42.8%44.1%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.25–1.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
0-29.3%
1-29.0%
0-18.3%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.68–5.27
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=568.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT21.5%15.9%–28.4% CI
Draw FT37.4%30.4%–45.1% CI
Away FT41.1%33.8%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals49.1%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.6%
Away61.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamAroucaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamTondelaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareArouca vs TondelaCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPrimeira LigaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPrimeira Liga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.